Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers – The Reds finally play the Brewers in their first set this year. The first thing that comes to mind is Elly De La Cruz stealing second, third, and then home. Maybe that’s because right next to my computer, I have my Topps Now card from that moment. Either way, the Cincinnati Reds are going to need that electric version of Elly and this whole lineup. Let’s take a look at how the Cincinnati Reds will match up against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Reds come into the series just two games under .500 (33-35) and in second place in the NL Central. The Brewers sit alone at the top of the NL Central (48-20), but are 5-5 in their last 10 compared to Cincinnati’s 8-2 during that span. However, the Reds have really struggled with the Brewers going 6-13 against them in 2022 and 3-10 last year. There’s just something about their lineup the Reds can’t seem to figure out.
Cincinnati Reds RHP Hunter Greene.
Hunter Greene will get the ball on the mound against Freddy Peralta tonight. Greene is on extra rest not having pitched since June 6th when he picked up a win against the Cubs. Greene is having easily his best year yet. Owning a 3.61 ERA, Greene is above average in Fastball Run Value (87th percentile), xBA (92nd percentile), Whiff % (81st percentile), and K % (74th percentile). What a drastic improvement from his 2023 numbers.
Peralta owns a 3.95 ERA, and had a rough outing last time out agains the Tigers – only going 3 1/3 innings after giving up 3 runs and 5 walks. Peralta gets more whiffs and strikeouts than Greene does actually, and he excels at inducing weak contact as well.
Cincinnati Reds LHP Andrew Abbott.
On Saturday, Andrew Abbott will face off against Bryse Wilson. As I’ve noted several times before, Abbott is pitching for contact this year and doing pretty well with that approach. He owns a 3.28 ERA and he’s in the 89th percentile for Hard Hit %. His Offspeed Run Value also puts him in the 87th percentile. Safe to say Abbott is here to stay unless his play falls off a cliff. A very solid 4th guy in any rotation.
Wilson shoved last season in 2023 going 6-0 with a sub 3 ERA. This season, he’s a bit more middle of the pack sporting a 3-3 record with a 4.19 ERA. Like Peralta, he had a tough time against the Tigers giving up 7 over just 4 1/3 innings.
Cincinnati Reds RHP Frankie Montas.
On Sunday, Frankie Montas will pitch for the Reds against Colin Rea. Montas needs to turn it around. Or at least become more consistent. He was lights out against the Rockies a couple of weeks ago, but last time out he couldn’t even make it two innings, giving up 4 runs to the Cubs. There’s just nothing outside of some bright spots that suggest Montas was worth his contract over the offseason. Really hoping he can turn it around this weekend.
Rea is a pretty average starter, but always seems to have a field day against the Cincinnati Reds. His advanced statistics aren’t great. He’s well below average in everything by BB % and GB %. He’s in the 11th percentile for K % at 15.9%, the 12% percentile for Chase % with 23.8%, and the 7th percentile for xBA at .288. Basically, he doesn’t strike you out, he doesn’t make you miss – he just makes you hit it on the ground. All of that and he owns a 3.31 ERA.
Cincinnati Reds Notebook
The Reds sent OF Blake Dunn back down to AAA Louisville and recalled OF Nick Martini. They faced several LHPs the last couple of weeks which better suited Dunn, and now will face several RHPs coming up which makes more sense to roll with Martini.
Cincinnati Reds IF Jeimer Candelario.
If the Reds were ever going to pick a time to figure out the Brewers, it had better be now. At just two games under .500 and just a half game back from a wild card spot, the season is fragile. They should be able to lean on Jeimer Candelario who is batting .321 over his last seven games with 4 HRs in that time. However, the Cincinnati Reds will be hoping Elly De La Cruz can turn around his meager performance lately at .185 with 8 strikeouts over his last seven.
As the draft approaches in July, look out for our prospect profiles here on the site!
The Cincinnati Reds have recalled OF/DH LHB Nick Martini for their 26th man move. On 6/13/24, the Cincinnati Reds optioned OF Blake Dunn after calling him up for his debut to face the bulk of left handed pitching the Reds would face. He collected his first MLB hit on a hustle double against the Chicago Cubs.
Cincinnati Reds Nick Martini on 3B after a big hit.
Nick Martini is back for the Cincinnati Reds. Nick has been a solid bat throughout the season versus RHP which is exactly why he was brought back up today, the first day he was eligible to be brought back up since he was optioned on 6/4/24. Nick has not been everyone’s favorite Red, that’s for sure, but he’s produced when called on. In his last limited stint with the Reds before being reoptioned, he had a 116 wRC+ vs RHP, which is what the Reds are hoping he can provide again in this term. The Reds are set to face a plethora of RHP starters within the next month.
On the season, and the main reason he has…not won many hearts over? He has a 60 wRC+ – folks, that’s 40 points worse than league average. Not ideal. Let’s hope he looks competent at the plate in Milwaukee, this is a huge series.
HOUSTON, TEXAS - MAY 20: Brent Rooker #25 of the Oakland Athletics singles in the first inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on May 20, 2023 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Oakland Athletics v Houston Astros
Part 2 in our series for players the Cincinnati Reds should do their due diligence and take a look at trading for. For our article on Luis Robert Jr., click here. Honestly, the Cincinnati Reds don’t really go out and make splash moves. Prospect hoarding and developing is the name of the game. Cincinnati is more likely to make a move for a guy like Brent Rooker that won’t break the bank, but is worth the move to acquire. The Reds are starting to turn the ship around after a horrid May. We’ll see if they can make some noise against the Brewers and really get going, but they need two things – a bona fide right handed hitter in the outfield, and a left handed hitting infielder.
That’s where Brent Rooker comes in. If they continue this run their on, they’ll be in a great position at the deadline and there’s a certain available power-hitting outfielder they could control through the 2027 season through arbitration.
Analyzing Brent Rooker’s game/trade value
Brent Rooker is a very interesting piece: He is every bit of a ‘late bloomer’ – he’ll be 30 years old in November and hasn’t even logged 1,000 MLB at-bats just yet. It wasn’t until recently that he begun to blossom into the All Star that he’s been for the Oakland Athletics. He has bounced between 4 teams thus far, and finally found a home with the dreadful A’s. As this article is being published, he is slashing .263/.346/.522/.868 – that would lead the Cincinnati Reds in every offensive category currently. He’s also whacked 13 HRs, which…you guessed it, would lead the Reds.
There’s quite a bit of hole in Rooker’s game; like most guys hitting 30 HRs a year nowadays, he strikes out a LOT. The Cincinnati Reds already employ the 1st & 2nd players with the most Ks. Elly and Will Benson. Would adding Rooker, who is just below them at 4th most (with 80 Ks) make sense? We’d say so because of his sheer value besides that. But what is he even worth at 30 years old, 3 more years of control? We’ll dive into it…
Acquiring Brent Rooker fills a massive hole in the lineup.
Future Cincinnati Reds OF Brent Rooker.
Writers Mike & Nati traded ideas of potential packages. Be sure to look at Mike’s below Nati’s. Remember, Nick Krall has a good relationship with the Oakland Athletics. Last deadline (23) the Cincinnati Reds went and acquired Sam Moll for highly talented Joe Boyle. This wouldn’t be the first time the two clubs matched up together for a trade on a player that was controllable.
The Oakland Athletics’ system is dire for some arms. They are very bottom heavy with pitching prospects. Chase Petty would give them a potential frontline starter one day and Lyon Richardson is a good Spence replace/potential MLB starter as well. The Reds could use Mitch Spence in the bullpen as a dimensional guy, he can start/open and his GB% is perfect for Great American Ballpark.
I’ll be honest, asking for Spence here is me being greedy but I absolutely love the projectables here. I’d even swap Carlos Jorge here for Ricardo Cabrera if they included him with Rooker. I don’t think Rooker has as much value as the industry thinks being as he’s 30 years old, but he DOES come with 3 more years of control, and he absolutely has a 151 wRC+ this year to go with his 127 wRC+ last year. He would fit the Reds tremendously. We’d get a “sure thing” versus the “Oh Will Benson please stop sucking” or the “Jake Fraley can’t hit homers anymore”. Go get him…
Cincinnati is in desperate need of a young, controllable right handed outfielder, and Brent Rooker is currently the “best deal” available on the market. He slugged 30 home runs last season and is an everyday player in this Reds lineup. Given that his defense is a little below average, Brent Rooker is also a fantastic candidate for DH – a position at which the Reds have employed names such as Mike Ford, Jacob Hurtubise, Nick Martini all within the last month.
My only knock on a move for Brent Rooker is his strikeout numbers. However, I’m removing some strikeouts by giving back Will Benson. Rooker’s advanced statistics are phenomenal – 90th percentile or better in Batting Run Value, xSLG, Barrel %, Hard Hit %, and Sweet Spot %. He’s also well above average in xBA, Bat Speed, BB %, and Average Exit Velo.
To get Brent Rooker, the Reds will have to give too.
Cincinnati might need to trade on of their top 15 prospects – Connor Phillips.
Cincinnati Reds RHP Prospect Connor Phillips.
Phillips has struggled mightily of late, as we noted here. There’s no confusing his potential though. To be fair to Phillips, his performance so far has not dampened the expectations scouts have for him. The Athletics farm is depleted of any exciting pitching talent. They do have Joey Estes with the big league club right now and of course their best starter is JP Sears. I almost included Sears in the trade, but felt the A’s wouldn’t be moved to give up both. Bottom line – the A’s need a pitching prospect with potential and Phillips is dripping with it.
Cincinnati Reds OF Will Benson.
Don’t get me wrong – I love Will Benson. Love his hat and helmet losing antics. His speed around the bases. His ability in the field. I do not love strikeouts coupled with a low average and weak run production. I think Benson is a true big league player. But his ceiling is a platoon guy that bats against RHP. The A’s could get away with playing him everyday to see what they have and if he can blossom in an everyday role.
The Reds may have to give up more for Brent Rooker. If I added anybody else in, it would have to be a guy like RHP Lyon Richardson or RHP Zach Maxwell. Somebody on the fringes in the Reds organization, but who would see some actual game time in with Oakland.
All-in-all the Reds acquire a solid right handed outfield bat and don’t have to give up a ton. Just imagine these following lineups when the Reds are at full strength.
Mike’s College Football Preseason Top 25 – The high-profile spring transfer portal athletes have found new schools. Coaches are turning their attention to recruiting for 2025. EA’s College Football 25 is almost here. It’s about time for a Top 25.
1. Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck.
Georgia just reloaded. Turnover is usually an issue for top collegiate teams, as many of their players leave for the NFL, but Georgia has a stockpile of four-to-five-star reserves waiting to be unleashed. Carson Beck (whom I have the Raiders picking 9th overall in my way too early mock draft) is entering his second year as a starter and will play behind a nasty offensive line. Former Miami wide receiver Colbie Young adds to a nice receiver room with Dillon Bell, Dominic Lovett, and Rara Thomas. The defense is set to be swift, eager, and laden with seasoned veterans such as safety Malaki Starks and linebacker Smael Mondon. Rising sophomore linebacker CJ Allen made a notable impression in the spring game.
2. Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns QB Quinn Ewers.
The return of Quinn Ewers is a significant boost, as is the acquisition of wide receiver transfers Isaiah Bond from Alabama, Matthew Golden from Houston, and Silas Bolden from Oregon State. To strengthen a pass rush that showed weaknesses in 2023, UTSA edge Trey Moore and Clemson Andrew Mukuba were recruited. Rising sophomore DeAndre Moore Jr. made an impressive start to the spring game with a 75-yard reception. However, the primary concern continues to be the secondary, which had difficulties in last year’s College Football Playoff semifinal and this year’s spring game.
3a. Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide QB Jalen Milroe.
If anything, the Tide should be better than last season. Quarterback Jalen Milroe is more established and will be playing in Kalen DeBoer’s offense which is better suited for him. Running back Justice Haynes is poised to be next in a line of Alabama greats at the position, and Jamarion Miller will be a great change of pace and receiver out of the backfield. They will be running behind Tyler Booker, Parker Brailsford, and Jaeden Roberts who are arguably the best interior in the nation. Former Washington wide receiver Germie Bernard and center Parker Brailsford were huge additions, and tackle Kadyn Proctor is back after a dalliance with Iowa. The front seven looks strong as always, and the Crimson Tide shored up their defensive backfield with Michigan Safety Keon Sabb and USC Cornerback Domani Jackson. I have them at 3a here because it was so close with Ohio State, I eventually had to choose Alabama simply because of the quarterback position.
3b. Ohio State Buckeyes
Ohio State Buckeyes WR Emeka Egbuka.
I wanted to rank them higher. I just have too many major question marks.
Ohio State has crafted an impressive all-star lineup, keeping top draft prospects such as receiver Emeka Egbuka, running back TreVeyon Henderson, and defensive ends JT Tuimoloau and Jack Sawyer, while also acquiring talents like former Ole Miss running back Quinshon Judkins (who may cause some issues with his attitude) and former Alabama safety Caleb Downs via the transfer portal. Freshman receiver Jeremiah Smith has already made his mark in his first spring. Running backs Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson create a formidable backfield, while Emeka Egbuka and the standout freshman Jeremiah Smith spearhead an exceptional wide receiver group. Head coach Ryan Day has brought in his mentor Chip Kelly to oversee the offense. However, my ranking of the Buckeyes is tempered by the ongoing quarterback battle between Kansas State transfer Will Howard and incumbent Devin Brown (neither of which I see as a valid QB for a top 5 team), along with some uncertainties on the offensive line.
5. Oregon Ducks
Oregon Ducks QB Dillon Gabriel.
The Ducks are emerging as the Big Ten’s top contender, aside from Ohio State. Dillon Gabriel, an Oklahoma transfer, displayed impressive form in the spring game, connecting well with Tez Johnson and fellow transfer Evan Stewart from Texas A&M. Jay Harris, from Northwest Missouri State, could be the perfect running mate for Jordan James. Houston transfer Jamaree Caldwell and several young defensive linemen made a strong impression this spring. Jabbar Muhammad, a transfer from Washington, is a significant gain for the secondary. Dan Lanning boasts a 22-5 record with back-to-back bowl wins in his first two years at Eugene. With Jordan James, one of the nation’s most dynamic running backs, and a top-tier offensive line, the Ducks are poised for success. Lanning is set to elevate the defense once more, leveraging the transfer portal extensively to meet Big Ten standards. A critical matchup in October against Ohio State will gauge the Ducks’ potential, but their November lineup—facing Michigan, Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington—will be the true test for their playoff aspirations.
6. Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels QB Jaxson Dart.
On offense, the team is well-equipped with quarterback Jaxson Dart, running back Ulysses Bentley IV, and receivers Tre Harris and Jordan Watkins. The offensive line has been bolstered by Washington transfers Nate Kalepo and Julius Buelow. Lane Kiffin has committed to enhancing his defense through the portal and continues to make additions. His latest acquisition is former Jacksonville State defensive end Chris Hardie, who topped Conference USA with 8.5 sacks last season. Hardie will join forces with returnees Jared Ivey and JJ Pegues, as well as Texas A&M transfer Walter Nolen and Florida transfer Princely Umanmielen, among others.
7. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish QB Riley Leonard.
Experienced quarterback Riley Leonard from Duke could excel under new offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock’s running game. Sophomore Jeremiyah Love is poised to become the lead running back, and the Irish’s receiving corps is expected to improve with Kris Mitchell from FIU joining the team. However, replacing offensive tackles Joe Alt and Blake Fisher will be challenging. Defensive tackles Howard Cross III and Rylie Mills, linebacker Jack Kiser, safety Xavier Watts, and cornerback Benjamin Morrison, who were part of last year’s defense that ranked fifth nationally in yards allowed per play, are returning. Linebacker Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa, an early enrollee, impressed during the spring game.
8. Utah Utes
Utah Utes QB Cameron Rising.
After consecutive 10-4 seasons, the Utes dropped to an 8-5 record last year in the absence of their starting quarterback and tight end. A tale as old as time, QB Cam Rising returns for a seventh year. This season, they welcome back wide receivers Money Parks and Mycah Pittman, tight end Landen King, and running backs Micah Bernard and Jaylon Glover. In terms of defense, eight starters from the 2023 lineup will return in 2024. Cornerback transfers Cameron Calhoun from Michigan and Kenan Johnson from Georgia Tech made a notable impact during the spring.
9. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines RB Donovan Edwards.
The Wolverines, reigning champions, are expected to be formidable on defense once again, with three potential first-round picks leading the charge: defensive tackles Mason Graham and Kenneth Grant, along with cornerback Will Johnson. Ex-Maryland linebacker Jaishawn Barham is anticipated to join the starting lineup. The quarterback situation for Michigan remains uncertain, as senior Davis Warren, a former walk-on, competes with sophomore Alex Orji. Questions also surround the offensive line. However, new head coach Sherrone Moore is confident in the abilities of standout running back Donovan Edwards and tight end Colston Loveland. Sophomore receiver Fredrick Moore made a notable impression during the spring game. The success of the Wolverines hinges on their quarterback conundrum. I can’t rank them any higher due to this and the departure of Jim Harbaugh.
10. Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles QB DJ Uiagalelei.
Mike Norvell will once again depend heavily on the transfer portal, starting with quarterback DJ Uiagalelei from Clemson/Oregon State. Alabama transfers, wide receiver Malik Benson and running back Roydell Williams impressed during the spring, and Georgia transfer Marvin Jones Jr. appears poised to become FSU’s next standout pass rusher. The secondary, featuring corners Fentrell Cypress II and Azareye’h Thomas, should be robust, although the defense overall will lack experience. The Seminoles may not repeat an undefeated season, but they possess the talent to contend for a College Football Playoff spot.
11. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Following an unexpected 10-win season, the Cowboys are ranked fourth nationally in returning production according to ESPN’s Bill Connelly. This is underscored by quarterback Alan Bowman, Doak Walker awardee Ollie Gordon II, and the entire offensive line. The defense, led by linebackers Nick Martin and Collin Oliver, boasts a wealth of career starts, despite ranking 123rd in yards per play last season at 6.5. Mike Gundy appears confident in his team, having brought in several transfers.
12. Missouri Tigers
Missouri is coming off their best season in a decade with an 11-2 record, and they retain much of their offensive firepower. Quarterback Brady Cook, along with receivers Luther Burden III and Theo Wease, are returning from that team. To replace All-American Cody Schrader, transfer running backs Marcus Carroll from Georgia State and Nate Noel from Appalachian State are stepping in. Eli Drinkwitz has strengthened the offensive line by bringing in All-AAC tackle Marcus Bryant from SMU. Although the defense has seen the departure of several key players, it has been bolstered by the addition of former Florida defensive back Chris McCellan, former Michigan State end Zion Young, and former Clemson cornerback Toriano Pride. The depth chart shows no significant gaps, but the performance of Eli Drinkwitz’s team on defense, with a completely new secondary and without DC Blake Baker, remains to be seen.
13. Arizona Wildcats
Jedd Fisch departed for the Washington position, bringing multiple coaches and players along. The new head coach, Brent Brennan, succeeded in keeping many of the Wildcats’ essential players, such as quarterback Noah Fifita, wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, and four starting offensive linemen. The running back position is still uncertain. Prominent cornerback Tacario Davis, having retracted his transfer after spring practice, teams up with Gunner Maldonado and Dalton Johnson to form a formidable secondary. Arizona relies on linebackers Jacob Manu and Justin Flowe, although the defensive line might lack experience.
14. Miami Hurricanes
After a 12-13 record in his first two seasons, Mario Cristobal sought results by utilizing the transfer portal. Miami has significantly overhauled its roster through the portal. The key addition is Washington State transfer quarterback Cam Ward, along with All-Pac-12 running back Damien Martinez from Oregon State, former Houston receiver Sam Brown, and former Tennessee pass rusher Tyler Baron, who all committed in the spring. Brown will team up with Xavier Restrepo and Jacolby George at receiver, while Baron is set to join forces with star Rueben Bain on the defensive line. The acquisition of former Washington safety Mishael Powell is notable, yet the secondary might still present vulnerabilities.
15. Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats QB Avery Johnson.
Sophomore Avery Johnson might be among the top dual-threat quarterbacks nationwide. Running back DJ Giddens is back, and Chris Klieman has brought in Dylan Edwards, Colorado’s leading rusher, this spring. The addition of Penn State transfer wide receiver Dante Cephas is noteworthy. The offensive line raises some concerns, yet the acquisition of North Dakota tackle Easton Kilty is promising. The defensive line, rich in experience, is expected to be robust, with the main defensive uncertainties lying in the secondary. Nonetheless, under Chris Klieman’s adept leadership, the program is on track for its fourth consecutive season of more than eight wins.
16. Tennessee Volunteers
Anticipation is mounting for the Nico Iamaleava era. Alongside returning receivers Bru McCoy and Squirrel White, five-star freshman Mike Matthews and ex-Tulane standout Chris Brazzell II have made impressive strides in the spring. However, there are concerns about running back depth. All-SEC defensive end James Pearce Jr. anchors a seasoned defensive line, while cornerback Jermod McCoy (Oregon State) and safety Jakobe Thomas (Middle Tennessee) have effectively addressed gaps in the secondary. In Knoxville, Nico Iamaleava has been heralded as the chosen one, and with Josh Heupel at the helm, their confidence is understandable.
17. Penn State Nittany Lions
Innovative offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki, previously with Kansas, aims to maximize quarterback Drew Allar’s performance. However, the first-team offense’s difficulties in the spring game did little to alleviate concerns about the unit’s outlook among fans and analysts. With leading receiver KeAndre Lambert-Smith transferring to Auburn in the spring, it’s up to Harrison Wallace III and ex-Ohio State receiver Julian Fleming to step up. Nolan Rucci, a transfer tackle from Wisconsin, joins the offensive line. Defensive star Abdul Carter has transitioned from linebacker to end in defensive coordinator Tom Allen’s 4-2-5 alignment. Should Georgia transfer A.J. Harris and Cam Miller fulfill their potential, the Nittany Lions are poised to have a pretty solid defense.
18. Louisville Cardinals
Following the portal’s initial activity, Jeff Brohm experienced significant attrition during the spring, including the departure of winter transfer acquisitions Tyler Baron and running back Peny Boone from Toledo. The Cardinals’ roster will largely consist of new faces, featuring quarterback Tyler Shough from Texas Tech, running back Donald Chaney Jr. from Miami, and wide receiver Ja’Corey Brooks from Alabama. Spearheading a formidable defensive line are first-team All-ACC defensive end Ashton Gillotte and former Harvard defensive tackle Thor Griffith. However, the secondary remains an area of potential concern.
19. Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma Sooners QB Jackson Arnold.
In Year 2 of Brent Venables’ tenure, the Sooners improved by four victories. And while momentum could stall out a bit in Year 1 in the SEC, especially with turnover at QB and OC, those around the program believe Jackson Arnold is a future star, and new play-caller Seth Littrell (former UNT head coach) knows a thing or two about generating offensive production. Purdue transfer wideout Deion Burks dazzled in OU’s spring game (five catches, 174 yards, two TDs), adding to an already deep receiving corps. But the offensive line, which lost four starters (three to the NFL Draft), remained a big concern coming out of spring. Star linebacker Danny Stutsman, defensive end Ethan Downs and safety Billy Bowman lead an experienced defense that must improve from 54th nationally in yards per play.
20. Kansas Jayhawks
With nine consecutive wins, KU is poised to receive its first preseason ranking in 15 years. The team’s star quarterback, Jalon Daniels, is in good health, and the Jayhawks will see the return of their leading two running backs, Devin Neal and Daniel Hishaw Jr., as well as their top three receivers, Lawrence Arnold, Quentin Skinner, and Luke Grimm. Cornerbacks Cobee Bryant and Mello Dotson, known for their playmaking abilities, are set to bolster a defense that has traditionally been overshadowed by the offense. Additionally, Javier Derritt, a transfer from North Dakota State, is expected to contribute significantly at the defensive tackle position.
21. North Carolina State Wolf Pack
Dave Doeren is shaping a remarkable offense, spearheaded by the exceptional Coastal Carolina transfer quarterback Grayson McCall, All-ACC receiver KC Concepcion, and transfer talents such as running back Jordan Waters from Duke, receiver Wesley Grimes from Wake Forest, and receiver Noah Rogers from Ohio State. Zeke Correll, the former Notre Dame center, is stepping in to fill the sole open starting position on the offensive line. However, the defense might experience a decline in the absence of standout players Payton Wilson and Shyheim Battle.
22. Clemson Tigers
The Tigers were the only non-service academy school to not dip into the transfer portal, which is concerning following their poorest performance since 2011. T.J. Parker, Peter Woods, and Barrett Carter are now spearheading a skilled defense. Meanwhile, Dabo Swinney is heavily relying on Cade Klubnik to excel in his second year with OC Garrett Riley, a risk that could lead to a conference title or another disappointing season. The return of wide receiver Antonio Williams from injury is certainly a positive development.
23. Texas A&M Aggies
Mike Elko and offensive coordinator Collin Klein are expected to enhance the Aggies’ offense, beginning with quarterback Conner Weigman, running back Le’Veon Moss, and the receiving corps. Nic Scourton, a former Purdue defensive end and last year’s Big Ten sack leader, showcased dominance in the spring game. He teams up with tackle Shemar Turner to fortify a robust defensive line. Linebackers Taurean York and Scooby Williams, a transfer from Florida, appear promising. However, the offensive line and secondary units remain areas for development.
24. Iowa Hawkeyes
The Hawkeyes are ranked in Connelly’s top 10 for returning production, despite the initial lack of offensive output. With new offensive coordinator Tim Lester, a fresh scheme has been introduced. Kirk Ferentz has recruited ex-Northwestern quarterback Brendan Sullivan, yet Cade McNamara continues as the starting QB. Iowa is expected to present a formidable defense once again, featuring All-American linebacker Jay Higgins, defensive end Deonte Craig, defensive tackle Yahya Black, and defensive back Sebastian Castro.
25. Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats QB Brock Vandagriff.
Mark Stoops is set to welcome a new offensive coordinator. With Liam Coen departing for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bush Hamdan will step in as the OC. Hamdan’s tenure at Boise State was marked by considerable success, which he aims to replicate in the SEC. The Wildcats have also acquired quarterback Brock Vandagriff through the transfer portal, who has the potential to shine in Lexington. Despite beginning his career at Georgia as a five-star recruit, Vandagriff transferred to Lexington after struggling to secure a significant role. The Wildcats also added linebacker Jamon Dumas-Johnson (the #25 ranked transfer recruit by 247sports) from Georgia who should anchor the defense.
HMs: USC Trojans, Memphis Tigers, LSU Tigers, Liberty Flames, & Boise State Broncos.
Let me know in the comments if you think I got anything wrong! We’ll know so much more about 2-3 games into the season. The transfer portal is such a huge part of college football now that it gets harder and harder each year to discern who will gel well in their new team and who will fail to make an impact.
The Cincinnati Reds have never been type of team to make a huge move. Especially under current management, the operative word in Cincinnati has been rebuild…. and rebuild and rebuild. Cincinnati boasts a talented roster with a rotation that’s delivering exceptional performances. Their lineup is brimming with young talent that’s just beginning to tap into their full potential. They are steadily transforming their challenging season and inching closer to securing a playoff position.
What better time to break the norm and go all in on a huge move? If they continue this run their on, they’ll be in a great position at the deadline and there’s a certain available superstar with three years of team control. I think we’ve all noted the stark need for an everyday right-handed bat in that outfield too.
Acquiring Luis Robert Jr. shows that the Cincinnati Reds want to win right now.
Writers Mike & Nati traded ideas of potential packages. Be sure to look at Mike’s below Nati’s. I’d say that Mike’s is the most “oh yeah, this will be accepted” because of the quality AND quantity of prospects, but Nati’s is the more conservative approach; after all, Luis Robert Jr has been made of glass and has a whole lot of time spent on the injured list. Let us know what you think…
Keep in mind, this is hypothetical. We feel this makes perfect sense for both teams. For what seems like the case for a majority of front offices, a quantity trade has been off radar for awhile now, it’s almost become taboo, but this is a package that includes both Quantity AND Quality. We proposed a package of two top 100 prospects, one former top 100 (Phillips) a promising big leaguer with plenty of control (Benson doesn’t expire until 2029) in the organization and a very projectable one. Some would argue Petty is the best arm in the organization, also on several top 100 lists. Look, let’s be real here, this is an absolute haul for the CWS. Luis Robert Jr hasn’t been able to stay healthy in any capacity, and what the White Sox are “seeking” from him is more of a joke than the one they wanted from the Reds for Dylan Cease at the deadline last year. I’m giving this much up for 2023 Robert Jr. I’d be OK giving up another projectable arm here like Ty Floyd or a more under the radar arm, Julian Aguiar. I asked a diehard White Sox fan what he would expect out of a Robert Jr trade, and he said 3 top 100 prospects and more.
Mike V’s package for the Chicago White Sox
What the Reds Get
OF Luis Robert Jr.
What the White Sox Get
INF Cam Collier
INF Sal Stewart
RHP Connor Phillips
OF Hector Rodriguez
OF Rece Hinds
More Analysis Needed: What are the Cincinnati Reds actually getting and giving up in these proposals?
Future Cincinnati Reds OF Luis Robert Jr.
Cincinnati is in need of a young, controllable star outfielder in that right-handed batter’s box, and Luis Robert Jr is easily the best available on the market. He slugged 38 home runs last season and is an everyday player – still batting .250+ against RHP. With a robust farm system, Cincinnati is well-positioned to make such a trade feasible. Besides, how fun would a Cincinnati Reds team be that showcases Luis Robert alongside Elly De La Cruz?
However, the White Sox have stated that they want more than what the Padres gave up to acquire Juan Soto from the Nationals in 2022. In that deal, the Padres sent SS CJ Abrams, LHP MacKenzie Gore, OF Robert Hassell III, OF James Wood, RHP Jarlin Susana and 1B Luke Voit.
— MLB Deadline News (@MLBDeadlineNews) June 9, 2024
Cincinnati might need to trade three of their top 15 prospects and then some, one being their one-time top 100 prospect Cam Collier. But it could be done. And since it can be done, we’re going to discuss it.
Cincinnati Reds INF Prospect Cam Collier.
Collier is a massive talent. He was the Reds 1st round pick (18th overall) in 2022 after all. But Cincinnati has Elly De La Cruz (duh), Matt McLain, Noelvi Marte, Jeimer Candelario, and Spencer Steer all available to man the left side of the infield. Some think Collier will end up transitioning to 1B given that he’s still growing, and defense and athleticism are the weak points in his game. He’s currently batting .240 with 10 HRs, 18 BB, but 57 SO. Collier won’t be ready until earliest 2026, but the White Sox are not in a hurry and can develop him wherever they see fit.
Collier alone won’t be near enough to do it though. If Edwin Arroyo was healthy, the Reds may be able to go more straight up in a trade for Robert Jr., but being injured, no team is likely to sell such a high value asset for a haul centered around Arroyo.
Cincinnati Reds INF Prospect Sal Stewart.
The Reds will have to put together a haul according to the reports mentioned before. They’ll likely need another infielder in the package. We’ll have to part ways with Sal Stewart or a guy like him. Carlos Jorge has lost most of his value lately, and Ricardo Cabrera is likely too far off. Stewart becomes a casualty here, but one the Reds will have to swallow to get this deal done. They’ll also need to include at least one pitcher more than likely.
Cincinnati Reds RHP Prospect Connor Phillips.
That’s where Connor Phillips comes in. Phillips has struggled mightily of late, as we noted here. Many of you would be loath to let him walk. but that’s exactly why he’d be necessary in such a trade. On the year, he’s 2-4 with a 9.00 ERA. That’s one run an inning! He’s also got a 2.20 WHIP. Not a great first half. To be fair to Phillips though, his performance so far has not dampened the expectations scouts have for him. He’s still a valid trade piece and this would not be considered “selling low”.
Cincinnati Reds OF Prospect Hector Rodriguez.
Lastly, to get the deal over the edge, I think we have to include a couple of solid outfielders. The White Sox have quite a logjam of pitching talent at the top of their prospect rankings, but they only have one outfielder. We discussed what we have in Rodriguez here. He was half of the Tyler Naquin trade and he’s no slouch, so don’t consider him a “throw-in” piece here – Luis Robert Jr. is just that good.
Cincinnati Reds OF Prospect Rece Hinds.
The Reds may also have to include OF Rece Hinds in this deal (although Nati went with Benson and more pitching). After a pretty impressive year last year, Hinds has sort of stagnated since being promoted to AAA ball. He does have 9 home runs and still projects as a major league corner outfielder. The White Sox could do worse, and he would likely get some playing time in the near future.
All-in-all the Reds acquire the best available outfielder in the game and get to keep their top 3 prospects intact. I don’t think Arroyo is untouchable but keeping him while acquiring Luis Robert Jr simply because he is injured is a blessing. Just imagine these following lineups.
vLHP
vRHP
C
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
1B
Spencer Steer
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
2B
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
3B
Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte
SS
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
LF
Stuart Fairchild
Spencer Steer
CF
TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl
RF
Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr.
DH
Jeimer Candelario
Will Benson/Jake Fraley
TJ Friedl has a significant advantage in CF over Luis Robert Jr. according to Statcast showing Friedl with a better jump, burst, and outs above average. Luis Robert Jr does have an impressive arm though (ranking in the 86th percentile) making him a great candidate for RF in the Reds lineup. Notice how this gives the Reds the flexibility to not bat a single one of Will Benson, Jake Fraley, Jacob Hurtubise, or Nick Martini against LHP. Beautiful.
OF Luis Robert Jr.
Look at his man and tell me he doesn’t look like he belongs in a Cincinnati Reds uniform. I dare you. Unfortunately, for those of us that love our captain, there’s not a ton of space for Jonathan India if the Reds make this move. If he picks up an OF glove, he can rotate in often, but this lineup is too rich. How can you not make this trade after seeing those lineups? Comment your trade ideas below.
Today, June 10th, 2024 the Cincinnati Reds announced their plans for Noelvi Marte.
He was permitted a 3 week window to ramp up his conditioning and get ready to tackle Major League Baseball again. Tomorrow marks the start of the 3rd week, and we are just now learning what level he will play at.
What level will Noelvi Marte return to?
The Cincinnati Reds plan to start Noelvi Marte at AAA Louisville Bats. He will have 3 weeks to ramp up to get to “MLB” Ready. Noelvi Marte has been out in Arizona and took several atbats with the ACL Reds throughout his 80 game suspension after utilizing steroids. As of right now (assuming no rainouts) the Cincinnati Reds 81st game will be played on June 27. We can expect Noelvi Marte back “officially” on 6/27.
Cincinnati Reds Noelvi Marte #16 and Elly De La Cruz #44
The unfortunate reality of the situation
Noelvi Marte return is exciting, but comes with depressing reality. Not only was he caught cheating, part of his 80 game suspension means he will NOT be eligible for the postseason, should our Cincinnati Reds get there. Regardless, his impressive start to his MLB career last year, if continued, will help the Cincinnati Reds struggling lineup get going and potentially make the postseason. Him playing 3B over Candelario (Candy DH) will be welcoming. Marte was a -2 OOA defender, but I don’t anticipate that being a regular thing. He looked better at SS. I think there’s a great chance we could see Noelvi playing some outfield, too, going forward. We shall see! Noelvi Marte had a 120 wRC+ in his 123 PAs his rookie year last season. He’s good. And a welcome addition. Welcome back, Noelvi!
The Cincinnati #Reds have been playing some good baeball of late and they will be getting top hitting prospect Noelvi Marte back soon from his 80-game suspension for testing positive for a performance-enhancer. He starts his rehab Tuesday with the @LouisvilleBats.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – June 9, 2024 – The Cincinnati Reds made it 7 in a row with their one-run win over the Chicago Cubs yesterday. Check out our post-game recap here. Time to make that 8 in a row. The Reds couldn’t avoid Shoto Imanaga forever – he’ll make them earn that 8th. Let’s break down how the Reds and Cubs will match up for this series finisher.
Montas pitched his best game in a Reds uniform last time out going 7 innings only allowing one hit and no runs. An up and down season so far for Frankie, now would be the time to hit his stride. His advanced statistics are ticking up, although not overall fantastic as of yet. He’s above league average in Breaking Run Value, Average Exit Velo, Chase %, and Barrel %. Here’s a crazy tidbit – Frankie Montas has never pitched against the Chicago Cubs. Let’s hope he keeps his last performance going into his first appearance against Chicago.
Cincinnati Reds Lineup Card
Batters
Average
1
RF Stuart Fairchild
.239
2
SS Elly De La Cruz
.238
3
1B Jeimer Candelario
.238
4
DH Spencer Steer
.238
5
2B Jonathan India
.242
6
3B Santiago Espinal
.192
7
CF TJ Friedl
.232
8
C Luke Maile
.181
9
LF Blake Dunn
.143
I have to point out that three guys in a row have the same .238 average at the top of the order – that’s pretty wild. Overall, a pretty weak lineup. Tyler Stephenson gets a day off and with rotation against LHP, Dunn and Espinal sneak into the lineup. Again, loving Stuart Fairchild in the lead off against LHP. Going to be tough with this lineup against one of the best starters in the bigs to this point in the season.
On 11 appearances in the MLB, Imanaga is 5-1 with a 1.88 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. Dude gets it done. Mostly a two-pitch guy, Imanaga throws the Four Seam 56.7% of the time and the Split-Finger 33.4% of the time. He also mixes in a Sweeper and a Curveball but has had poor results with both. Actually, he has a negative value on his Split-Finger as well. He only throws the Four Seam 92 MPH.
I’ll be honest – while I think Imanaga will be a really good starter in the long term, his advanced stats smell like a guy that the league just hasn’t figured out yet. Not many find success with only one good pitch. Especially not as hard as he gets hit – he’s below average in Hard Hit % and Barrell %. That being said, we care about how he’s pitching now and he’s been phenomenal. The Cincinnati Reds will have to put something together to make it 8 in a row.
Chicago Cubs Lineup Card
Batters
Average
1
RF Mike Tauchman
.262
2
DH Seiya Suzuki
.261
3
1B Cody Bellinger
.256
4
3B Christopher Morel
.202
5
LF Ian Happ
.220
6
SS Dansby Swanson
.220
7
2B Michael Busch
.246
8
CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
.216
9
C Miguel Amaya
.195
Suzuki is back in the lineup after suffering a left side injury from a throwdown by Tyler Stephenson that plunked him in the ribs. Clearly he’s not 100% as they have him in the DH spot, but good for him to get going again. Usually a Reds killer, Ian Happ has one more game to turn around his 0-11 in the series so far. This Cubs lineup isn’t necessarily what worries me – I just hope the bats can stay hot against Imanaga.
The Cincinnati Reds have triumphed in seven consecutive games and have won eight of their last ten. Maybe it’s time to start thinking about repeating last year’s insane 12-game streak, eh? Lucas Sims just had to make it a nailbiter. I for one started worrying as soon as I heard John Sadak say that the Reds had him throwing in the bullpen. Tyler Stephenson made a phenomenal play on a foul pop behind the plate to the first base side to give Justin Wilson a chance to earn the save.
Cincinnati Reds 3B Jeimer Candelario smashes a solo home run to right field in the bottom of the first inning against the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ballpark on June 8, 2024.
The Reds clinched a series victory with a 4-3 win on Saturday afternoon over the Cubs, leaping over Chicago and St. Louis for sole possession of second place in the NL Central. The Cincinnati Reds (32-33) continue to dominate Chicago, now 5-1 against the Cubs this season. Cincinnati trusted Andrew Abbott after a rocky start where he seemed out of control at times. Abbott allowed nine to reach safely, including a season-high four walks in a 99-pitch outing. He ultimately concluded with just one run allowed over five innings, securing his fifth victory of the season. Just like I said in the game preview (which if you aren’t reading these before each game, you aren’t prepared), Abbott always gives you a chance to win.
The Cubs (31-34) consistently left runners on base, especially when facing Abbott. Chicago managed only 1-for-14 with runners in scoring position, which included a 1-for-8 performance during Abbott’s time on the mound. Abbott having to escape that many situations is an issue in and of itself, but he found a way – as he usually does. Cubs right fielder Mike Tauchman will be kicking himself having gone 0-4 – all with runners in scoring position.
Cincinnati Reds OF TJ Friedl slugs a two-run home run in the third inning against the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ballpark on June 8,2024.
Friedl accounted for three of the Cincinnati Reds’ four RBIs, the only exception being Jeimer Candelario’s solo shot in the first inning. This marked Friedl’s second three-RBI game of the season, the first of which on June 2, also against the Cubs.
NL Central standings as of 06/08/2024.
Besides moving into sole possession of second place, the victory was a nice change of pace for the Reds when it comes to their luck in one-run games. Cincinnati, a woeful 3-11 team in one-run games—the lowest in MLB—finally took a one-run game that it felt like they dominated in. The Cincinnati Reds seventh straight victory marks their longest winning streak since the unforgettable 12-game surge in June 2023.
Win streaks. Fighting your way back into the thick of it. Guys getting healthy. Pitching. These are all things that’ll raise your playoff hopes, especially after a horrendous May like the Cincinnati Reds had. So how much are the odds really going up, might you ask? Let’s check it out using Baseball References model.
Baseball Reference Model Explained
In Baseball Reference’s model, they compile outcomes utilizing a particular team’s performances over the last 100 regular season games and includes a regression to the mean factor. They’re based on standings on the last 100 regular season games (yes, spanning back to last season.) With that said, their ‘Most Likely Scenarios’ does NOT have the Cincinnati Reds making the postseason, ironically, as they have the Chicago Cubs edging us out by over 9%, which… is where the flaw to these formulas come. After all, it is a formula, and is strictly a simulation. These don’t factor injuries in at all, or things to that nature.
Cincinnati Reds Playoff Odds
How the Cincinnati Reds Playoff Odds have changed over the the course of the season so far (Baseball Ref)
Just a mere 30 days ago, the Reds sat at an 11.1% chance at making the playoffs. The club played at a 9-18 pace in May, which considerably was knocking them lower and lower on the pole. Fast forward to June 8th, fresh on a 6 game win streak, their totals have went up way higher. 7 days ago, even, the Reds sat at a 14.4% chance. Today, you ask? They’re sitting at a 33.9% chance at making the postseason. Fangraphs’ model, which I personally despise, does not like our odds. But for perspective, they also believe the Cardinals have the 2nd best chance in the NL Central to make the playoffs. Baseball Reference’s odds have the Cubs over us still, even though we’re 4-1 against them on the season thus far, and that is based on the Cubs having an easier schedule remaining, which makes no sense. Formula schormulas. Whatever. Let’s keep winning, and have those odds raise even higher.
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – June 8, 2024 – Your Cincinnati Reds are winners of 6 straight and find themselves squarely back in a position to push for the postseason. Any of us would have laughed out loud to read that sentence three weeks ago. Let’s look at how the Reds might take it 7 in a row.
Cincinnati Reds LHP Andrew Abbott
Cincinnati Reds LHP Andrew Abbott
Last time out for Abbott, he went 6 innings with 3 runs in Colorado against the Rockies. Abbott continue to induce weak contact except when he gives up a homer like he did last week. He’s sporting a 3.39 ERA that he continues to drive down from the 5+ he started with. Abbott always give you a chance to win – he really only has one bad outing (he gave up 6 to the Cardinals a couple of weeks ago).
Cincinnati Reds Lineup Card
Batters
Average | OPS
1
TJ Friedl CF
.226 | .736
2
Elly De La Cruz SS
.237 | .763
3
Jeimer Candelario 3B
.238 | .744
4
Spencer Steer 1B
.238 | .744
5
Jake Fraley RF
.289 | .714
6
Tyler Stephenson C
.268 | .776
7
Jacob Hurtibise DH
.244 | .677
8
Jonathan India 2B
.240 | .698
9
Will Benson LF
.214 | .740
Cincinnati Reds 6/8/24 Lineup
Chicago Cubs RHP Ben Brown
Chicago Cubs RHP Ben Brown.
Brown got knocked around by the Reds last time out giving up 5 runs on 5 innings pitched. Remember, Brown is the hardest hit pitcher in the bigs. A hybrid reliever/starter, Brown owns a 3.33 ERA after a phenomenal start to his career. Hopefully, these Cincinnati Reds can keep the bats hot against him and make it 7 in a row.
