Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies – June 4, 2024 – Last night’s game was beautiful. The Reds seem to be back on track. Check out our breakdown complete with highlights here. The Cincinnati Reds go into tonight’s matchup against the Rockies 27-33 on the season and 7-3 over their last 10. The Reds also optioned Nick Martini to AAA and added OF Blake Dunn to the active roster! Let’s break down tonight’s matchup in Denver.
Cincinnati Reds RHP Frankie Montas
Montas surrendered 3 over 6 innings on his way to a loss last time out against the St Louis Cardinals. 3 runs will work if the Reds hit like they did last night. Montas looked like an Ace on opening day. Since then, he’s been very up and down. He’s a bottom three guy in the rotation for sure until he can get consistent. His advanced stats don’t look great. The only things he is above average on are Fastball Velo (60th percentile), Breaking Run Value (67th percentile), and Barrel % (54th percentile). I’ve seen worse advanced stats from Reds opponents this year, but he’s the Cincinnati Reds worst performing starting pitcher by advanced metrics. Not good from a guy you gave a decent pay day to last offseason. Plus the Reds probably can’t really trade him for much if anything. Let’s hope some of that potential comes out soon.
Cincinnati Reds Lineup Card
Batters | Average | |
1 | RF Stuart Fairchild | .228 |
2 | SS Elly De La Cruz | .233 |
3 | 3B Jeimer Candelario | .233 |
4 | 1B Spencer Steer | .243 |
5 | DH Tyler Stephenson | .253 |
6 | 2B Jonathan India | .239 |
7 | CF TJ Friedl | .200 |
8 | LF Blake Dunn | – |
9 | C Luke Maile | .174 |
Blake Dunn makes his major league debut! We wrote about what to expect here. Outside of that, we have the usual against LHP. Fairchild in his rightful place and thank God that Stephenson is in the lineup even though he’s not behind the plate. Let’s hope that Steer, Candy, and Elly can stay hot.
Colorado Rockies LHP Ty Blach
Man, I’d hate to start against a team that just put up 13 runs against my team in our building. Blach is a sinkerballer through and through. His sinker is his fastball – tossing it over 50% of the time. Opponents are hitting .324 against his sinker, .290 against his changeup, and .238 against his cutter. His strength? He has the stuff to go right at guys. He doesn’t get hit hard – only giving up 3 HRs to this point in the season. He also only walks 4.9% of batters – good for the 88th percentile. With a 12% strikeout rate, 83% of batters put the ball in play. That’s insane. Look for the Reds to get aggressive on the basepaths and take advantage of the runners they get.
Colorado Rockies Lineup Card
Batters | Average | |
1 | DH Charlie Blackmon | .237 |
2 | SS Ezequiel Tovar | .295 |
3 | 3B Ryan McMahon | .284 |
4 | C Elias Diaz | .294 |
5 | 2B Brendan Rodgers | .270 |
6 | 1B Elehuris Montero | .218 |
7 | CF Brenton Doyle | .270 |
8 | LF Jake Cave | .253 |
9 | RF Hunter Goodman | .179 |
Watch out – McMahon is back in the lineup. Blackmon also is in the lineup after a day off. This lineup can get hot at times, so don’t necessarily expect another 10 run slashing. We may see a shootout.