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    Home Blog Page 24

    Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – Zack Wheeler v Nick Martinez

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    Zack Wheeler will make his 2nd start of the season against the Cincinnati Reds. His first appearance he threw 6 innings with 1 ER & 10 strikeouts on April 5th, 2024. The 2021 Cy Young Runner-Up has been quite…good against the Reds in his career holding them to a .652 team OPS while striking out 44 in 7 starts against the franchise. The Reds are in position to take this series this afternoon with a win. They’ve already won the season series against the Phillies which could come huge in October, as we learned with all the tiebreakers late last season.

    Who fares well against Zack?

    Well…nobody in this lineup today does. Jake Fraley had success against him earlier in the year, but is still out with the flu. I would take Christian Encarnacion-Strand with a hit against him today, as would I take Will Benson with a hit. The Reds need to get him to throw a lot of pitches and try to shake him from the game early, but as you see below, that won’t be easy. He’s 79th percentile in BB% – very difficult to walk against. Throws a whole lot of strikes. Jeimer Candelario, when looking competent with the bat like he hasn’t, fares well, but I’m not liking him in this matchup today with how he’s looked of late.

    Nati’s YOLO parlay of the day

    • Zack Wheeler 7.5 K’s OVER (-146)
    • Alec Bohm to record a hit (-240)
    • Trae Turner Stolen Base (+270)
    • Spencer Steer Single (+100)
    • $5 to win $86.70

    The History Between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies

    The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies have a long and storied history in Major League Baseball. These two teams have faced off against each other numerous times over the years, creating a rivalry that has captivated fans and produced memorable moments on the field. One of the most significant chapters in their history unfolded during the 1970s. The Reds, known as the “Big Red Machine,” dominated the National League during this decade, winning back-to-back World Series titles in 1975 and 1976. Meanwhile, the Phillies were also building a strong team, led by players like Mike Schmidt and Steve Carlton. The rivalry between the Reds and Phillies reached its peak in the 1990s. The Reds had another successful decade, winning the World Series in 1990. The Phillies, on the other hand, experienced a resurgence in the late ’90s, making the playoffs multiple times and reaching the World Series in 1993. In recent years, the rivalry has continued to evolve. Both teams have had their ups and downs, but they have remained competitive and have produced exciting games whenever they meet on the field. The Reds and Phillies have also seen some notable players pass through their ranks, adding to the intrigue of their matchups. Overall, the history between the Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies is filled with thrilling moments, intense competition, and a deep-rooted rivalry. Whether it’s the dominance of the Big Red Machine or the resurgence of the Phillies in the ’90s, these two teams have left an indelible mark on the history of baseball.

    Swing and a Miss or Home Run? Assessing the Reds’ 2024 Season Standouts and Struggles

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    Do and Dont thumb up and down vector icons. Vector red bad and green good, Like and unlike symbols for negative and positive check

    Following Saturday night’s win over the Los Angeles Angels, we are officially 20 games into the 2024 season. As we settle into the rhythm of the baseball calendar, it’s the perfect moment to assess individual performances. In this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Reds’ roster to identify players who have exceeded expectations, and a few who might need to step up their game. 

    Let’s start with those few players who have underperformed expectations to begin the season, and who will be looking to bounce back as we finish off April and head into May.

    Struggle.

    Jeimer Candelario, coming off a robust 2023 campaign where he posted a .251/.336/.471 line and an .807 OPS, signed a 3-year, $45 million contract to anchor third base for the Cincinnati Reds. However, his start to the 2024 season has been disappointing, with a batting average of .183, on-base percentage of .265, and slugging percentage of .367, combining for a .632 OPS over the first 16 games. More concerning are his advanced metrics: his Sweet-Spot percentage has decreased from 36.9% in 2023 (76th percentile) to 30.8% this season (30th percentile), and his Whiff percentage has increased from 24.2% (56th percentile) to 33.9% (10th percentile), indicating significant issues with making effective contact.

    It’s just the beginning…

    Considering his history of slow starts, as evidenced by his career March/April slash line of .233/.307/.366 with a .673 OPS, Candelario’s early struggles this season are somewhat anticipated. As we move into May and approach the dog days of summer, expect Candelario to potentially find his rhythm and begin to turn his performance around.

    Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CES), a prominent figure in the 2022 trade deadline deal that sent Tyler Mahle to the Twins, began his major league career impressively in 2023. Over 63 games, CES posted a .270/.238/.477 slash line, achieving a .805 OPS with 13 home runs and 37 RBIs. However, the start of the 2024 season has seen him struggle at the plate, managing only a .182/.188/.312 slash line with a .500 OPS in 18 games. Unlike Candelario, CES’s challenge has not been the quality of contact. He boasts a robust 44.4% Hard-Hit% and an 11.1% Barrel% (64th and 74th percentiles, respectively). The main issue for Strand has been his plate discipline; his alarmingly high Chase % of 42.9% places him in the 2nd percentile across all of baseball. Moreover, he has decreased his O-Contact% while increasing his O-Swing%, which means he’s swinging more at pitches outside of the zone but making less contact with them.

    Data matters.

    Despite these struggles, there’s a silver lining. So far in 2024, Strand’s BABIP has dropped to .231 from .336 in 2023. Given that he continues to barrel the ball at a high rate, this suggests a streak of bad luck with the balls he’s putting into play. If his BABIP normalizes closer to last year’s levels, and he adjusts his approach at the plate to address his discipline issues, there’s a good chance he could see significant improvements in his performance as the season progresses.

    As we navigate through the challenges facing players like Encarnacion-Strand, it’s also important to shift our focus and highlight some of the brighter spots on the team. Let’s look at the players who have exceeded expectations early in the 2024 season. These individuals have not only risen to the occasion but have also significantly contributed to the team’s dynamics, showcasing their potential to impact the season positively

    Standouts.

    Spencer Steer, the centerpiece of the 2022 trade that sent Tyler Mahle to the Twins, had a standout first full season in 2023. Playing in 156 games—the most of any Red’s position player that year—Steer posted a solid .271/.356/.464 slash line, translating to an .820 OPS. His performance was consistently average to above-average across both traditional offensive statistics and advanced batted ball metrics. Notably, he maintained a slightly better-than-average Chase % at 23.9%, complemented by average rankings in Whiff %, K%, and Sweet-Spot %. Overall, Steer amassed 1.9 fWAR in 2023 and was projected by ZiPS to build on this with a 2.6 fWAR season in 2024.

    In 2024, Steer has elevated his game to become one of baseball’s top hitters. Over the first 20 games, he boasts a remarkable .324/.435/.564 slash line for a .999 OPS. He has hit safely in fourteen of those games, including seven multi-hit performances. More than just traditional stats, Steer excels in plate discipline posting an impressive 15.3% K % and 12.9% BB %, placing him in the 82nd percentile for both. Moreover, he’s achieving a career-high Hard-Hit % of 53.4% (94th percentile), showing improvements in Sweet-Spot % as well as Chase % and Whiff %. If Steer maintains this exceptional level of play throughout the season, he could be on track for a career-defining year. His enhanced plate discipline and power-hitting capabilities suggest the potential for significant increases in both home runs and RBIs, possibly pushing him into elite territory among MLB hitters. This performance could not only catapult his fWAR well beyond the preseason projections but also establish him as a cornerstone player for the Reds for years to come.

    With Spencer Steer setting a high bar for performance, let’s turn our attention to another exciting player whose dynamic play has captured the attention of the entire baseball world.

    Elly De La Cruz signed with the Cincinnati Reds as a 16-year-old international free agent from the Dominican Republic in 2018 for just $65,000, and many scouts considered him a long shot to ever reach the major leagues. While I won’t delve into his entire backstory—assuming many readers are familiar with it—it’s worth noting that his rapid ascent through the minor leagues suggested some early challenges at the big-league level were likely. Despite these expectations, De La Cruz has begun the 2024 season in an impressively strong manner.

    Known for his prolific game power, where in 2023 he posted an average exit velocity of 91.2 MPH (79th percentile) and featured a max exit velocity of 119.2 MPH (99th percentile), De La Cruz has shown no signs of slowing down in 2024. He has increased his average exit velocity to 91.9 MPH (86th percentile), while also increasing his Barrel %, and drastically improving his Hard-Hit% 18.2% (97th percentile), and 50.0% (85th percentile) respectively. Batted ball data is not the only way Elly has improved upon expectations, he has drastically improved his BB % from an abysmal 8.2% (46th percentile) in 2023 to 13.6% (85th percentile) in 2024, while also decreasing his K %, 33.7 % (3rd percentile) in 2023, to 30.9% (14th percentile) in 2024.

    Always ready for the moment.

    Despite high expectations, De La Cruz’s performance in the latter half of 2023 was underwhelming, leading many to anticipate a continuation of this trend in 2024. However, he has defied these expectations, showcasing dramatic improvements at the start of the year. One of my personal favorite advanced metrics to look at is xwOBAcon (Expected Weighted On-Base Average on Contact), it’s a mouthful I know. Essentially, this metric removes strikeouts, walks, and HBP’s to measure the productiveness of a hitter when they put the ball in play. In 2024 Elly has posted an xwOBAcon of .513 (95th percentile), which when you account for his much better plate discipline as evident by this 20-game rolling K % and BB %, the changes Elly made in the offseason seem like the real deal.

    Through the first 20 games of the season, De La Cruz is slashing .290/.395/.638 with an OPS of 1.033, including 6 home runs, 15 RBIs, and a league-leading 10 steals. On track for an fWAR of 8.1 over 162 games, he would have ranked third in all of baseball last season based on this metric. While projecting an 8+ fWAR season might be ambitious, it’s not out of reach to envision him achieving a 5+ fWAR season and solidifying his status as one of the top five shortstops in Major League Baseball, if he maintains his current trajectory.

    To close…

    As the 2024 MLB season unfolds, the Cincinnati Reds are showcasing a blend of promising talents and experienced players striving to hit their stride. From Jeimer Candelario and Christian Encarnacion-Strand, who are looking to rebound from slow starts, to Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz, who have set the bar high with their outstanding early performances, the Reds have several narratives developing that could define their season. The contributions of these players not only highlight their individual potential but also shape the overall dynamics of the team. As we continue through the season, it will be fascinating to see how these players adapt and evolve, potentially steering the Reds towards a successful campaign.

    2024 MLB Draft: Cincinnati Reds Edition

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    2024 Reds Draft rumors
    2024 Reds Draft rumors

    “With the 2nd pick of the 2024 MLB draft, the Cincinnati Reds select …”

    July 17th, 2024: Rob Manfred

    Folks, we’re less than 3 months away from the 2024 MLB Draft. I found it would do you a tremendous service to provide a one stop shop at scenarios and liklihoods of what our Cincinnati Reds will potentially do with their pick. There’s many options I’m sure not everyone reading this even knew was possible, or plausible. Let’s get into some of my favorite prospect options, I’m going to list 6 total, and why they’d “fit” under each description. Go grab a coffee, let’s get to business. To remind every reader, the Reds pick 2nd overall this draft, right behind the Cleveland Guardians, after getting lucky for once in our life and hitting on the MLB Draft Lottery that was newly put in. We had a 0.9% chance to receive 2nd overall, and got it. The Reds will have $15,842,100 total to play with this draft.


    1. Charlie Condon – 6’6″ 220 – 1B/OF Georgia

    Charlie Condon, MLB Draft Prospect Source: Georgia Bulldogs Athletics
    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Hit: 60 | Power: 60 | Run: 40 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 60

    Charlie Condon

    Charlie Condon started the spring on most prospect lists as a consensus top 5; most lists had him in the 4th overall or 5th overall region…until he just started going absolutely nuclear. In 181 PAs in 2024, he’s slashing .482/.586/1.110/1.695. Yes, you read all of these correctly, just look below if you don’t believe me. Absolutely…nuclear. 24 HRs and totaling 37 XBHs so far, and he’s walked more than he’s struckout. (32:25). You could argue he’s having one of the best collegiate seasons of all time, especially in the SEC. Here’s a fun note on Charlie Condon: He was a preferred WALK ON with the Georgia Bulldogs. That’s right, he wasn’t even a scholarship player. He redshirted his freshman year there to “put on weight.” He has, however, ALWAYS hit, even through highschool. I feel very certain that he will be the Cincinnati Reds pick at #2 IF and only IF he makes it there. A lot of folk in the industry believe the Guardians will take him. The only “knock” I can find on his game is he’s slow, very slow, this will hold him to a corner OF spot at best, and a likely DH. There is really nothing else to critique. His bat to ball skills are absolutely premiere, he has ridiculous power with his build, he isn’t a terrible defender…but he’s slow. I’ll take it. At the bottom of this article, I detail several scenarios in which the Reds may act on if Charlie Condon is not there.

    2. Nick Kurtz – 6’5″ 240 – 1B/OF Wake Forest

    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Hit: 60 | Power: 65 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 60 | Overall: 60

    Nick Kurtz

    To start off, Nati Sports believes Nick Kurtz is the best overall hitter in this draft. If the Reds can land him at #2, like they could be able to do, I think it’d be one of the most blessed days as a Cincinnati Reds fan as there’s been in a long, long time. I think the buzz behind the Guardians taking him 1st overall is very, very real, though. He started slowing down a little bit in 2024 due to teams not pitching to him and a little injury, which he’s become accustom to, but from 4/2-4/16, the dude has played 10 games, and he has a homer in 9 of the those 10 games. Multi homers in 4 of them. Please, do yourself a favor and look at what this guys overall collegiate stats read (as of 4/17/24) below… He is an absolute MENACE. Now, a knock you can find on Kurtz is his injury history. He had to sit out a bit in ’23 with a hip injury, and he sat out in ’24 with another injury as well, however, he has not missed a damn beat. Nick has a serious eye for the zone and with him being a very big dude, it’s important. I think Nick fits the Reds a little bit better than Condon because many scouts believe he can genuinely go and play RF at a positive clip, which would greatly increase his chances to break the big leagues quicker with the Reds. As you can see, Kurtz has not logged any ABs with a wooden bat, which many don’t think will matter. I personally don’t believe the Guardians will take him #1 overall decidedly until he plays a few games in the summer league, which he may opt NOT to do, to display his ability to hit with wood. With him being as good of a hitter as he is, I don’t think anyone would expect him to do anything but hit, even with wood, but it’s certainly a difference.

    Nick Kurtz career slash via Baseball Reference https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=kurtz-000nic#

    3. Chase Burns – 6’3″ 210 – RHP Wake Forest


    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Fastball: 60 | Slider: 70 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 50 | Overall: 55

    Chase Burns is, in my opinion, the best starting pitcher in this draft. Many would compare his stuff to Paul Skenes, who went #1 overall last year in the 2023 MLB draft to the Pittsburgh Pirates, and that comparison alone is enough to state such. Chase doesn’t have as good of control as Skenes does, but with enough tweaking, I don’t have any doubt he could reach that level. Having a 60 grade fastball, and a 70 grade slider straight out of college will at the minimum provide a steady major league career, even with sloppy command. His changeup is 50 grade and useable, but many scouts believe he will need to reconfigure it to turn it into another plus pitch. It will be vital to his MLB career that he does, should he remain a starter. Selecting Chase Burns here would be a very strategic move, that I’ll highlight on below the list of players. (Hint: Pool $$$)

    4. Travis Bazzana – 6’0″ 200 – 2B Oregon State

    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Hit: 55 | Power: 60 | Run: 60 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 60

    Travis Bazzana

    Travis Bazzana is an absolute dog. Dude lives and breathes baseball, and for anyone out there in evaluation, you know how important it is. 80 grade Love for ball is real. I can hear one of you boomers out there already, “Oh, brother! Not another damn infielder!” and…well, I understand. And honestly, I think I’d be a little disappointed in the Reds picking Bazzana here unless they were able to get him WAY underslot, because he hasn’t played any other position, and would be a project. I think he has the athleticism to play in the outfield as well, so I’d be willing to take the risk, only if they were able to get him underslot, as I mentioned above, for reasons I mention below in a passage labeled “Scenarios”. Travis is a native of Hornsby, Australia. He’d be the first Aussie to make the bigs with the Reds, should they draft him, and that’d be a pretty KOOL story, bro. Travis is easily the third best hitter in this draft, and he’s going to make one hell of a big leaguer, the bat is too good. So good, he sets the Oregon State HR record, you know, the school that has produced 3 1st rounders including Adley Rutschman? Pretty good! What stands out to me is the success he has had with wooden bats in the summer leagues. I really like this kid.

    5. Jac Caglianone – 6’5″ 250 – LHP/1B/DH Florida

    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Hit: 45 | Power: 65 | Run: 40 | Arm: 60 | Field: 55 | Overall: 55

    Fastball: 70 | Slider: 50 | Cutter: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 40 | Overall: 50

    Jac Caglianone

    Big Stick Jac Caglianone. The next “Shohei Ohtani“, they say. The dude pumps triple digits with a 70 grade fastball, and hits 500 foot homers with 65 grade power. What’s not to like about that? Well, a couple things, if you’re an evaluator. There’s a whole lot of questionmarks around Jac’s game – does he continue being a 2 way player, does he go into the DH/1B role? He’s already had his UCL repaired, which could scare teams about his pitching. If it’s left up to me, I’m staying away from Jac, but there is certainly a possibility of the Reds being able to sign him WAY underslot at 2nd overall. I don’t see them doing it, even though he’s a really, really fun baseball player. The majority of his highlights are with the bat. The last “two way” player to be drafted high overall was Brendan McKay out of Louisville that simply never got his feet on the ground in pro ball after many injuries. I’m staying away from this one.

    6. Konnor Griffin – 6’4″ 205 – OF Jackson Prep (MS HS)

    MLB Pipeline Grades (Collapse)

    Hit: 50 | Power: 60 | Run: 65 | Arm: 65 | Field: 60 | Overall: 55

    Konnor Griffin

    The sleeper pick. Konnor Griffin is a premiere talent. According to Joe Doyle, the Cincinnati Reds have sent several scouts to go watch Konnor Griffin play. Konnor is already 6’4″ 205 at 17 years old, with 60 grade power…he hasn’t even filled into his body yet. The 65 grade speed gives him genuine 30-30 potential. He is currently an LSU commit, and it’d be very rare for the Reds to take a highschool prep product, but the “scenarios” I’ve mentioned multiple times could REALLY give them a reason to. Konnor is a genuine 5 tool prospect, and easily the best prep player there is in this draft. A true physical specimen. 6’4″ and running like he does is really hard to pass up on. He hit .548/.693/.976/1.669 his senior year in HS with 38 BBs compared to 8 Ks. He had 7 HRs and stole 68 bases. This kid is a huge, huge talent, and the Reds may have $2,500,000 reasons to take him 2nd overall and let him marinate. Check out this video of Konnor hitting a TANK at 14 years old:

    Konnor Griffin at 14 years old
    Specimen.

    Scenarios the Reds may act on in this draft

    When you’re picking 2nd overall with a bonus pool like the Reds have, & only possess two picks inside the top 51, there’s a whole lot of things you can do to maneuver the draft. If you can’t get Charlie Condon, who has shown, statistically, to be the best hitter all around (even if I think Kurtz is the most complete,) then this is a route they could take:

    • Draft + sign a lesser prospect at 2 overall, (or someone that wouldn’t of normally gone that high; Griffin or Caglianone, for example) for under the allotted value of the 2nd pick ($9,785,000) and then lure a big time HS prospect away from their college commitment with the leftover cash at 51 if the draft board falls that way.
    • For example, in 2023, the Reds were able to sign Rhett Lowder for $575,000 less than what the 6th overall pick was worth ($6.27m) and ended up paying Sammy Stafura (Clemson, at the time commit) $2.5m when the slot value for his spot he was drafted was only worth $2m; this type of stuff happens all the time when a big time guy falls.

    What would Nati do at 2nd overall?

    I fully expect Nick Kurtz to be there at #2 overall; I just feel like Charlie Condon has played his way into the bona fide 1st overall pick to the Guardians, even though several mocks have come out lately from different outlets suggesting that the Guardians are more infatuated with Kurtz. Long story short, I’m staying safe and taking one of those two this draft. It feels like the Guardians could sign Nick Kurtz for $1-$1.5m under slot and then sign another big time prospect at #34 and if there is one of the two more likely to sign for less $$ it’d be Kurtz, I’d think. The MLB Draft is all about the ultimate finesse.

    Conclusion

    One of Nick Kurtz or Charlie Condon will be a Cincinnati Reds player by the end of the year, and they’re both 65 grade prospects on day 1, IMO. With that being said, we’ll add another top 100 prospect to our system. A system that’s still ranked top 10 to this day on every major publisher, even after all those top 100 graduations last year. It’s a great time to be a Reds fan!

    His middle name is Arnold, and he’s the most underrated Cincinnati Reds player.

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    The month was January, the year was 2022…the Cincinnati Reds are on the verge of total commitment to an organizational overhaul and certain rebuild. Rumors are swirling everywhere, Luis Castillo to the Yankees, Dodgers, or…where? Tyler Mahle‘s market is hot, the Texas Rangers, Minnesota Twins are interested, the Baltimore Orioles are checking in…and then Spring Training comes around, and not even on day 1 of it, Nick Krall and Jerry Dipoto drop a bomb. And so did I.

    On March 14th, 2022, the Cincinnati Reds dealt Jesse Winker, one year removed from an All Star Game & Eugenio Suarez, who was struggling, but all ball-knowers knew he’d recover, to the Seattle Mariners for a package of 4 players. The fanbase went absolutely insane. The Reds had just dealt two of the absolute fan favorites, if not 1a, & 1b, respectfully, to a team across the United States, in a totally different division. Twitter went wild. None of us wanted to accept losing our favorite players AND still losing games, but we had to. In that package? LHP Brandon Williamson, who was said to have the best fastball in all of the Minor Leagues as a LHP, RHP Justin Dunn, who spent many parts of his MiLB career as a top prospect, though never being able to stay healthy, a Player to be named Later (RHP Connor Phillips,) and then, some “throw in” to fill Winkers OF position, as it was labeled, named…

    Jake Arnold Fraley

    via @Reds / Instagram

    You hear a lot about Elly de La Cruz, Spencer Steer, Matt McLain, Will Benson, the list goes on, but not much (alright, let’s be fair, we Reds fans know about ’em) about Jake “Rake” Fraley. The dude is the definition of consistent. In the clubhouse, on the field, in the dugout…consistent. With tremendous aura. I mean, look at the picture above.

    “We’re a better team with him out there.”

    David Bell, Reds Manager

    Since the Cincinnati Reds traded for him, Jake Fraley has absolutely abused right handed pitching. So far in 2024, a week 1/2 through the season, he’s also shown he can hit LHP. He hit his first homer of the year off LHP Gabe Speier from the Seattle Mariners on 4/15/24.

    If you put aside his consistency, let’s talk about the insane aura, and badass nickname Jake has. He’s known as “RAKE” a synonym relaying his consistency with ability to hit the ball. There is no one more professional than Rake, and he’s quickly becoming a fan favorite through his intensity and desire to be a Cincinnati Red. Jake has connected with us from day 1, literally, when he tweeted that he understood our frustrations (see below image).

    During 2023’s playoff push that fell short, Jake Fraley had a stress fracture in his toe and played through it to try to help the team win. The guy is an absolute legend and should be talked about as such. He’s on fire to start 2024, and let’s hope there’s no injury or anything to slow him down. We appreciate you, Rake!

    Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners – 4/15/24

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    Frankie Montas vs George Kirby

    The historics of this series hasn’t been kind to the Cincinnati Reds, the Seattle Mariners own the all time matchup at 16-5 against the Reds. Ladies & gentleman, that’s a 72.6% winning percentage against our ole Redlegs. I think it’s time to right the ship.

    Cincinnati Reds’ frontliner Frankie Montas will look to bounce back tonight against the Mariners, who employ Dominic Canzone who owns a team best .795 OPS against RHP so far in 2024…which is…not great. The Mariners as a team have not been too pretty thus far offensively. Shocked to see that the Reds aren’t a favorite. Frankie Montas has been dominant against the Mariners throughout his career (primarily with the A’s) – the M’s have a team slashline of .198/.258/.359/.617 with 17 BBs compared to 79 Ks in 12 games. Frankie will look to continue that dominance tonight.

    Seattle Mariners’ George Kirby will start tonight; and he has got absolutely wrecked so far in 2024. He’s worth -0.5 brWAR thus far through 3 starts and has only K’d 13 in 14.1 IP and is good for a 8.16 ERA. He’s not walking a lot of guys, teams have just been on him early so far. Make no mistake, George Kirby is one of the brightest arms in the game and what his stats show tonight is not who he truly is. He’s been VERY tough on righties, but lefties have punished him thus far.

    Who is gonna have to have a big game…

    The Reds will rely on their left handed bats to get them started tonight. Jake Fraley, Will Benson, Elly, and Jeimer Candelario will have to carry the bulk of it. Take a Fraley XBH. I like that best.

    Cowboy and Sadak and the call, play ball!

    Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – 4/8/24 Game Preview

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    Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – Graham Ashcraft vs Aaron Ashby

    Aaron Ashby v the Cincinnati Reds

    Recently brought up from AAA Gwinnett Stripers – hasn’t pitched in the Major Leagues since 2022 where he had a 4.44 ERA in 27 G and 107.1 IP. He did strikeout 126 but walked 47, so he is rather wild. He is fresh off a 5.0 IP game in AAA in 2024 where he gave up 3 ER on 4 hits while striking out 6 and walking 2. In his career against the Cincinnati Reds, Aaron has faced them 3 times, sporting a .212/.395/.394/.789 slashline against him. The bulk of this came in 2022, where only Tyler Stephenson & Jonathan India would’ve been an active Cincinnati Red and faced him. That said, this is an entirely different lineup and team than it was in 2022. It might…be a worse lineup today, with Friedl and McLain out. If you’re betting, I’d really bet understanding that.


    Flip the Script.

    Graham Ashcraft v the Milwaukee Brewers

    Unfortunately, and being blunt, the Milwaukee Brewers have absolutely blistered Graham Ashcraft over his career. There’s not much sugarcoating there. They’re slashing .322/.402/.521/.922 in 6 games against him, and folks, that’s no small population size, that’s 137 team ABs against him. He has a 7.20 ERA against Milwaukee career in 30 IP with 14 BBs compared to 21 Ks. It’s been really, really bad. 6 HRs given up. The Reds will really rely on his 2024 version to be better than what it was in previous. I’d be fading them today if I was betting.

    Nick Lodolo…So Close To Being BACK.

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    Get on the phone…tell your bros. Nick Lodolo, the Cincinnati Reds ACE, is nearly back.

    Nick Lodolo pitched 5 Innings of 2 Hit Ball on 3/31

    Nick Lodolo faced the Pittsburgh Pirates AAA affiliate yesterday in his rehab outing for the Louisville Bats – He went 5 IP with 8 Ks before hitting a batter & issuing a borderline walk. He suffered only 2 hits. His stuff looked GREAT. Reached 95.2 MPH on his fastball with normal extension.

    Nick Lodolo nasty sequence

    The Update we’re all waiting to hear…

    According to Gordon Wittenmeyer of The Enquirer, Nick Lodolo progressed well from his rehab assignment game 1. As most know, this is important that the information comes out today, because Nick’s discomfort was taking place AFTER his games, not during. As of 5pm 4/1/24, Nick Lodolo is scheduled to make one more brief rehab start in AAA Louisville, and will then make his 2024 MLB Debut on April 10th at home in GABP against the Milwaukee Brewers, which will prove to be a big time game.

    Reds vs Phillies Preview 4/1/24

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    On this day of joking, April 1st, 2024…the Cincinnati Reds will take on the Philadelphia Phillies for the first time in 2024. Sure does seem like we get them early every year now, doesn’t it? Keep reading below to check out some matchups I really like, especially if you’re a bettor! (Though, this certainly is NOT betting advice, just some matchups I really like.)

    Matt McLain & 2024…Is it in jeopardy?

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    Jul 29, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Cincinnati Reds second baseman Matt McLain (9) throws to first for the out against Los Angeles Dodgers center fielder James Outman (33) during the fourth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

    Elly de La Cruz picks up another major Endorsement..

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    You all know Mr. Swaggy…?

    The Cincinnati Reds’ future Super Star Elly de La Cruz has picked up another big time endorsement to add to his collection. He was formally sponsored by Under Armour as most recent, but has since picked up a sponsorship from someone well known across the globe…

    Michael Jordan. Jordan Brand is now an official endorser of Elly, according to Complex.

    The deal hasn’t been made public, but with Elly’s rise nationally, one could think he got quite a nice check!