Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – Graham Ashcraft vs Aaron Ashby
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Aaron Ashby v the Cincinnati Reds
Recently brought up from AAA Gwinnett Stripers – hasn’t pitched in the Major Leagues since 2022 where he had a 4.44 ERA in 27 G and 107.1 IP. He did strikeout 126 but walked 47, so he is rather wild. He is fresh off a 5.0 IP game in AAA in 2024 where he gave up 3 ER on 4 hits while striking out 6 and walking 2. In his career against the Cincinnati Reds, Aaron has faced them 3 times, sporting a .212/.395/.394/.789 slashline against him. The bulk of this came in 2022, where only Tyler Stephenson & Jonathan India would’ve been an active Cincinnati Red and faced him. That said, this is an entirely different lineup and team than it was in 2022. It might…be a worse lineup today, with Friedl and McLain out. If you’re betting, I’d really bet understanding that.
Graham Ashcraft v the Milwaukee Brewers
Unfortunately, and being blunt, the Milwaukee Brewers have absolutely blistered Graham Ashcraft over his career. There’s not much sugarcoating there. They’re slashing .322/.402/.521/.922 in 6 games against him, and folks, that’s no small population size, that’s 137 team ABs against him. He has a 7.20 ERA against Milwaukee career in 30 IP with 14 BBs compared to 21 Ks. It’s been really, really bad. 6 HRs given up. The Reds will really rely on his 2024 version to be better than what it was in previous. I’d be fading them today if I was betting.
The dreadful 2020s against Milwaukee…
The Cincinnati Reds are currently treading waters that I’d deem…embarrassing when it comes to the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers have absolutely owned Great American Ballpark. You’d think they’d put Miller Lite stands in every corner of the ballpark after the domination…you all knew I had to drop this in there. Enough of the writeup, let’s get to the embarrassment: The Reds are 8-21 against the Brewers since 2020 AT GREAT AMERICAN BALLPARK. Read that again. That’s a 27.6% win percentage AT HOME against a divisional opponent. My goodness. Horrendous. You’d like to know they’re 16-16 against Milwaukee at Miller Park, though. Whew. No, truthfully, the Reds have to flip the script this year if they want a chance at October. Devin Williams is on the IL. Need to win 3 of 4.
